SFC:
Team Canuckistan: This team is the only team in the SFC who has locked up a playoff spot. At 7-3 he is also favored to finish first in the SFC and get the first round bye. To guarantee this he must win 2 games, however that is assuming that either Red Tiger, Las Tortugas Negras, or Core Protection win out. One game will most likely be adequate.
Playoff Chance: 100%
First Round Bye Chance: 80%
Red Tiger: They are at 5-5 and have been off and on lately. To secure a playoff spot this team needs to win at most 2 more games, though one more win might cut it if the other SFC opponents lose to their NFC opponents. To get the first round bye this team must win out or Team Canuckistan must lose out.
Playoff Chance: 70%
First Round Bye Chance: 10%
Las Tortugas Negras: The Black Turtles are also at 5-5 and have been just as off and on. Their win over Red Tiger really boosted them back into the playoff race. However, they are last place in the SFC in points for and you have to wonder if their luck will catch up to them. To get to the playoffs they must win at most 2 more games, though one win might cut it if the other SFC opponents lose to their NFC opponents. To get the first round bye this team must win out or Team Canuckistan must lose out.
Playoff Chance: 50%
First Round Bye Chance: 5%
Core Protection: This team has been the hottest in the SFC as of late, dominating the SFC in points for the past 2 games. After a L6 streak many counted this team out of the playoffs, however if this team wins 3 of their next 4 games playoffs will be guaranteed, and going 2-2 might get them in. The first round bye is still possible for this team too, however they would need to win out and have Team Canuckistan lose out, along with having Las Tortugas Negras and Red Tiger go 2-2 each.
Playoff Chance: 50%
First Round Bye Chance: 5%
Eleven's Chosen Ones: This team is better than their record indicates. They are third in points for behind Team Canuckistan and Core Protection. That is including two worst score of all time performances. To get to the playoffs they almost have to win out. There is a slight chance that they can lose one more but they would need a lot of help from the NFC to get to the playoffs at 6-8. They are completely out of contention for the first round bye.
Playoff Chance: 25%
First Round Bye Chance: 0%
NFC:
The Mud Eaters: No team has been stronger than the Mud Eaters this season, and at 9-1 they have locked up the playoffs and are one win from locking up a first round bye. There is a good chance they could lose out and still have the first round bye, but that would require The Ox to win 3 of their next 4 on top of The Mud Eaters already losing out. The future is bright for The Mud Eaters.
Playoff Chance: 100%
First Round Bye Chance: 95%
The Ox: The Ox has been one of this seasons surprises. At 6-4 this team has not yet secured a playoff position but is one more game from making it likely, and two more games from guaranteeing it. They are also the only other team in the running for the first round bye but they need The Mud Eaters to lose out and they need to win out to have a chance at it.
Playoff Chance: 95%
First Round Bye Chance: 5%
The Carnegie PantyRaiders: This team has clawed its way back into the playoff race but is under no circumstances guaranteed a spot. The battle for this last playoff spot is going to be intense with the PantyRaiders tied with The DAWGS and only one game in front of themadoompaloompas. To get to the playoffs they need to win three more to be likely and win out to guarantee a spot. The team with the best record in the next four weeks will get that coveted third spot.
Playoff Chance: 35%
First Round Bye Chance: 0%
The DAWGS: The DAWGS are fourth in the NFC for the first time in a while. They have the same record as The Carnegie PantyRaiders but are being dominated by points for which makes you wonder which team is more legitimate. To get to the playoffs they must beat the Carnegie PantyRaiders in record the last four games this season, and make sure themadoompaloompas don't catch them offguard.
Playoff Chance: 15%
First Round Bye Chance: 0%
themadoompaloompas: This team is somehow still in the playoff race, but barely. To get to the playoffs they MUST win out, and seeing as how they are last in the SNFL in points for, this will be extremely difficult. They may be the first team completely knocked out of the playoff race with a game against The Carnegie PantyRaiders this week.
Playoff Chance: 1%
First Round Bye Chance: 0%
And there you have it. As expert picker I am sure you all are wondering who I have in the playoffs right now. Here is my list, they are listed in order of how I think each team will finish. Asterisk denotes first round bye and regular season conference champ.
SFC:
Team Canuckistan*
Red Tiger
Core Protection
NFC:
The Mud Eaters*
The Ox
Carnegie PantyRaiders
I will update you on the race again next week.
-Fred
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